Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.188382 0.217995 0.250705 0.289512 0.334299 0.384372 0.444620
2025-10-19 0.143609 0.183764 0.232678 0.296637 0.378093 0.478422 0.611506
2025-10-26 0.117940 0.161858 0.219122 0.299244 0.408510 0.552450 0.756765
2025-11-02 0.098500 0.143139 0.204671 0.295658 0.426874 0.609471 0.883392
2025-11-09 0.082303 0.125691 0.188454 0.285823 0.433214 0.648302 0.986804
2025-11-16 0.073793 0.117811 0.184290 0.291941 0.462106 0.721187 1.146749
2025-11-23 0.065891 0.109555 0.178146 0.293660 0.483616 0.784253 1.297754
2025-11-30 0.059938 0.103473 0.174400 0.298260 0.509527 0.856083 1.469794
2025-12-07 0.052995 0.094770 0.165196 0.292436 0.517040 0.898050 1.596016
2025-12-14 0.047471 0.087763 0.157912 0.288786 0.527395 0.945168 1.735303
2025-12-21 0.043800 0.083570 0.154957 0.292252 0.550349 1.015981 1.923656
2025-12-28 0.041969 0.082514 0.157437 0.305760 0.592825 1.125667 2.194634
2026-01-04 0.039597 0.080226 0.157518 0.315028 0.628892 1.228315 2.465943
2026-01-11 0.037218 0.077647 0.156773 0.322636 0.662670 1.330347 2.748075
2026-01-18 0.034566 0.074179 0.153853 0.325471 0.687061 1.416286 3.007044
2026-01-25 0.031528 0.069532 0.148015 0.321572 0.697046 1.474072 3.213879
2026-02-01 0.028206 0.063875 0.139444 0.310879 0.691388 1.498786 3.352863
2026-02-08 0.026737 0.062113 0.138931 0.317532 0.723850 1.607019 3.685018
2026-02-15 0.025011 0.059563 0.136411 0.319400 0.745807 1.694582 3.980334
2026-02-22 0.023676 0.057757 0.135339 0.324402 0.775326 1.801659 4.331549
2026-03-01 0.021668 0.054118 0.129688 0.318069 0.777710 1.847352 4.543762
2026-03-08 0.020008 0.051133 0.125239 0.314101 0.785245 1.905604 4.792209
2026-03-15 0.018967 0.049568 0.124016 0.317869 0.812004 2.011985 5.170069